Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

With the Nuggets capable of remaining close to the Heat, backing them on the spread could be the best way forward. -108 is available that the +2.5 is covered.

Denver Nuggets have enjoyed four consecutive road victories. They lost 128-108 in their previous game at home to Houston Rockets at Ball Arena. Christian Braun scored 22 points, with Jamal Murray getting 22 and Russell Westbrook 17.

Miami Heat have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road at Crypto.com Arena, LA Lakers recently beat them 117-108. Tyler Herro was able to score 34 points, with Nikola Jovic getting 12 and Haywood Highsmith 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets triumphed 135-122 when they last played the Heat. This head-to-head was played at Ball Arena. The Nuggets have six straight wins against the Heat. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L

View Full Standings

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Nuggets are averaging 119.7 points, 47.3 rebounds, 30.5 assists, 8.3 steals and 5.5 blocks while shooting 49.8% from the field and 77.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 111.9 points and 42.2 rebounds per contest.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 21.0 points, 11.0 rebounds and 7.9 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 2.7 (40.3%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 5 and lost 5 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 109.2 points, 44.0 rebounds, 27.5 assists, 8.0 steals and 4.7 blocks per game while shooting 46.4% from the field and 77.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 110.9 points and 47.3 rebounds.

Tyler Herro is averaging 25.2 points, 4.9 assists and 4.1 (40.6%) 3-pointers made, while Bam Adebayo has an average of 7.8 rebounds.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray.

Miami Heat lineup: Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Nuggets look easy to back at -108 considering they’ve been given a spread of +2.5. This looks a good number when squaring off in this NBA showdown.

Sportsgambler.com boast basketball expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our NBA predictions and we make sure that the most important stats are on hand.

Key Nuggets vs Heat stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 6 consecutive games against Nuggets.

Nuggets +2.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

Our Game Prediction

Nuggets +2.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Terry Rozier Under 11.5 Points +102

Terry Rozier (Heat) has had Under 11.5 points in 5 of the past 5 games. There could once again be a failure on his part to cover the line and the Player Points bet can be backed at +102.

Latest Terry Rozier Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-106

Assists

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-179

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Tyler Herro Under 5.5 Assists -128

Tyler Herro (Heat) has totaled Under 5.5 assists in 7 of the past 10 games. We’re happy to wager him to fall short of the Player Assists line and this option can be backed at odds of -128.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-127

Under 23.5

-106

Assists

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-149

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Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 115 - 113 Heat

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Nuggets to secure a 115-113 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Miami Heat as +124 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 45% likely to win. The market suggests that Denver Nuggets are least likely to win at -147.

The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 227.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Over 227.5, then the odds are -110.

Those wanting to back the Heat to win the Race to 20 betting can get odds of -115 that the favorites oblige. If you want to back the Nuggets, then odds of -115 can be found.

If you’re wagering on basketball, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Nuggets

-147

Heat

+124

Point Spread

Nuggets -2.5

-112

Heat +2.5

-108

Total Points

Under 227.5

-110

Over 227.5

-110

Nikola Jokic is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -118 that he goes Over 27.5 points and -114 when it comes to Under.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 27.5

-118

Under 27.5

-114

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 23.5

-127

Under 23.5

-106

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 15.5

-118

Under 15.5

-114

Jimmy Butler (Heat)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-114

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 11.5

-125

Under 11.5

-106

Haywood Highsmith (Heat)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-103

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

+105

Under 9.5

-139

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-156

Jimmy Butler (Heat)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+118

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-118

Haywood Highsmith (Heat)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-132

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-103

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-149

Jimmy Butler (Heat)

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-128

Terry Rozier (Heat)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-179

Haywood Highsmith (Heat)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-167

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 238.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 223.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 223.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 119.70 pts and allowed 111.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 122.40 pts and allowed 115.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 225.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 223.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 223.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 109.20 pts and allowed 110.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 115.30 pts and allowed 110.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 33.80 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.00 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.10 (77.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.3, Offensive 11.20, Defensive 36.10
• Assists: 30.50
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 8.30
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 17.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 37.50 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.90 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.70 (73.75%)
• Rebounds: Total 50.1, Offensive 13.10, Defensive 37.00
• Assists: 32.50
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 14.30
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.00 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.10 (77.4%)
• Rebounds: Total 44, Offensive 8.40, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 27.50
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 13.30
• Personal Fouls: 13.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.50 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.30 (77.58%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.9, Offensive 8.10, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 29.20
• Blocks: 3.60
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.20
• Personal Fouls: 15.70

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

22 Jimmy Butler

24 Haywood Highsmith

55 Duncan Robinson

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

4 Russell Westbrook

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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