Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Feb 2025

It’s time to go for Liberty against the spread, especially with a -4.5 line at odds of -102. Our betting prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved when they play New Mexico State.

Liberty Flames won their previous game, beating Sam Houston Bearkats at home. It was a 64-61 win.

New Mexico State Aggies were defeated last time out. They were beaten at home to Texas El Paso Miners by a 66-63 scoreline.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liberty have been victorious in their last two matchups with NM State. There have been 83-58 and 68-60 scorelines at home. It’s been two Liberty wins in the past 3 games beween these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico State	6-3	662	610	52	5-1	1-2	3L
Liberty	6-3	723	600	123	5-1	1-2	1L

View Full Standings

Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

Don’t miss out on the opportunity to side with Liberty at -4.5 on the spread. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous line and -102 can be backed for this college matchup.

Our college basketball predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Liberty vs New Mexico State stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by NM State in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 2 consecutive games against NM State.

Liberty -4.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a team to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Liberty -4.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kaden Metheny Over 3.5 Rebounds -145

Kaden Metheny (Liberty) can be wagered to register Over 3.5 rebounds at -145. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.

Latest Kaden Metheny Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+108

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Zach Cleveland Over 11.5 Points -120

Zach Cleveland (Liberty) can be wagered to rack up Over 11.5 points at -120. We have a strong conviction that he is able to cover the total when it comes to betting on Player Points.

Latest Zach Cleveland Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-103

Assists

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-118

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Correct Score Prediction

Liberty 75 - 66 NM State

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on the Flames when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 75-66 should provide some entertainment.

Liberty vs New Mexico State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty are regarded as having a 61% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -154. For those wanting to back New Mexico State, you will find +128 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 132.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you fancy Over 132.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

You can back Liberty to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -150 to achieve this, with NM State +110 to win the race to this total.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Liberty

-154

NM State

+128

Point Spread

Liberty -3.5

-102

NM State +3.5

-120

Total Points

Under 132.5

-105

Over 132.5

-115

Kaden Metheny is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 12.5 points and there is -123 for him to go Under.

Kaden Metheny (Liberty)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-123

Taelon Peter (Liberty)

Over 12.5

-103

Under 12.5

-125

Zach Cleveland (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-103

Colin Porter (Liberty)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Zach Cleveland (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Colin Porter (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Zach Cleveland (Liberty)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-118

Kaden Metheny (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+108

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Liberty Stats

New Mexico State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 137.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 136.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 133.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 133.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.20 pts and allowed 66.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 131.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 137.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 133.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 133.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 66.50 pts and allowed 65.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 72.80 pts and allowed 65.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Kennesaw State	8-2	972	753	219	6-1	2-1	4W
Louisiana Tech	6-3	643	512	131	6-0	0-3	2W
Liberty	6-3	723	600	123	5-1	1-2	1L
Sam Houston	6-3	777	678	99	3-0	3-3	1W
New Mexico State	6-3	662	610	52	5-1	1-2	3L
Western Kentucky	6-3	746	704	42	5-1	1-2	1L
FIU	5-3	675	612	63	5-1	0-2	3W
Middle Tennessee	5-4	716	660	56	4-2	1-2	1L
Jacksonville State	4-5	681	559	122	4-3	0-2	1L
Missouri State	4-5	686	666	20	4-2	0-3	2L
UTEP	3-5	588	579	9	3-2	0-3	3L
Delaware	3-7	687	753	-66	2-4	1-3	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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