Miami Heat
Charlotte Hornets
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Hornets

The Miami Heat take the floor against the Charlotte Hornets in this NBA contest. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Best Bet Has to Be Under 234.5

We’re not convinced that the Heat and the Hornets are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 234.5 at -115.

Heat Have 9 Wins in Past 10 on H2H

Miami Heat were beaten 121-117 at Kaseya Center in their previous game, being turned over at home to Orlando Magic. Jaime Jaquez Jr. dropped 22 points, as Norman Powell finished with 20 and Bam Adebayo 20.

Charlotte Hornets suffered a defeat in their last game. A 115-102 scoreline occurred on the road at Frost Bank Center against San Antonio Spurs. Miles Bridges scored 22 points, with Kon Knueppel adding 20 and Coby White 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat beat the Hornets when the teams last met. It was a 128-120 scoreline at Spectrum Center. The Heat have four straight wins against the Hornets. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 38 31 0.551 120.2 116.9 3.3 23-12 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 2L
Hornets logo Hornets 35 34 0.507 115.8 112.2 3.6 15-17 20-17 10-5 21-22 7-3 1W
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 122.7 points, 46.0 rebounds, 28.0 assists, 9.4 steals and 4.9 blocks while shooting 47.1% from the field and 81.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 115.0 points and 43.6 rebounds per contest.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 28.7 points and 9.5 rebounds, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 5.2 assists and Tyler Herro 2.6 (43.3%) 3-pointers.

Charlotte Hornets – Last 10 Games

The Hornets have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 114.9 points, 46.0 rebounds, 26.4 assists, 8.8 steals and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 44.9% from the field and 80.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 104.4 points and 41.1 rebounds.

Brandon Miller is averaging 19.9 points, Moussa Diabate 8.8 rebounds and LaMelo Ball 5.8 assists, while Kon Knueppel has an average of 3.8 (45.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell.

Charlotte Hornets lineup: Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Moussa Diabate, Brandon Miller.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 234.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this NBA contest. The two teams could well end up falling short and -115 can be backed.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key NBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.

Key Heat vs Hornets stats:

  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Heat games on the road.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Heat games.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Hornets games.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Hornets games at home.
  • The 234.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Hornets games.

Under 234.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders wager is by combining it with the winner on the Match Result & Total lines.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Game Prediction
Under 234.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 16, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:02, 16 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Miller Under 21.5 Points -127 BetMGM logo

Brandon Miller (Hornets) has an average of 16.4 points in the past 5 games. We’re expecting this trend to continue on this latest appearance and you can get Player Points odds of -127.

Latest Brandon Miller Player Prop Odds


Tyler Herro Over 4.5 Assists +109 BetMGM logo

Tyler Herro (Heat) has had Over 4.5 assists in 3 straight games on the road. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet which is priced at +109 that he is able to cover the line.

Latest Tyler Herro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 235.5
Spread Heat +5
Player Points Brandon Miller Under 21.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Under 235.5, Heat +5 and Brandon Miller (Hornets) to score Under 21.5 points.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 113 - 115 Hornets logo Hornets

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 115-113 win for the Hornets. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Giving Hornets Plenty of Respect

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Charlotte Hornets are -196 favorites to win and that means a 66% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to back Miami Heat, you will find +166 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 5 and the total points line is 235.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 235.5 at -114.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Betting Lines & Odds
Tyler Herro Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Tyler Herro is available at -109 to rack up Over 22.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -125 is available.

Player Points
Player Assists
LaMelo Ball (Hornets)
Over 7.5
+114
Under 7.5
-156
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
+107
Under 5.5
-143
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Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
-137
Under 4.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Moussa Diabate (Hornets)
Over 10.5
+102
Under 10.5
-137
BetMGM Logo
Brandon Miller (Hornets)
Over 5.5
-108
Under 5.5
-127
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, team and player props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Spectrum Center
Spectrum Center
Heat Lead Recent Head-to-Head Results at Spectrum Center

The Hornets are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, posting 111.70 points per contest while yielding 104.50.

The Heat have gone 7-3 across their last 10 road games, putting up 121.50 points on average and giving up 111.00.

The Heat defeated the Hornets 128-120 the last time they played at Spectrum Center. Across 10 head-to-head meetings at Spectrum Center, the Heat have come away with seven wins, while the Hornets have three.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O234.5 U234.5
Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Home Stats 6-4 216.20 111.70 104.50 1 9
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 7-3 232.50 121.50 111.00 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O234.5 = Games Over 234.5 Points
  • U234.5 = Games Under 234.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 60 31.85 1202 172 20.0 2.9 1.7 9.7 0.7 1.2
Andrew Wiggins 57 30.96 905 159 15.9 2.8 2.0 5.1 1.0 1.1
Tyler Herro 21 30.64 451 79 21.5 3.8 2.5 4.6 0.4 0.8

Charlotte Hornets Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Kon Knueppel 67 31.95 1290 228 19.3 3.4 3.5 5.3 0.2 0.7
Miles Bridges 63 31.78 1107 212 17.6 3.4 2.1 5.8 0.5 0.6
Brandon Miller 51 30.23 1040 174 20.4 3.4 3.1 5.1 0.8 1.1

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Charlotte Hornets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets logo Charlotte Hornets Confirmed Lineup
0 Miles Bridges
1 LaMelo Ball
7 Kon Knueppel
14 Moussa Diabate
24 Brandon Miller
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
7 Kel'el Ware
9 Pelle Larsson
14 Tyler Herro
24 Norman Powell
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
05 Mar NBA
Nets 110-126 Heat
03 Mar NBA
Nets 98-124 Heat
28 Feb NBA
Rockets 105-115 Heat
26 Feb NBA
Heat 117-124 76ers
24 Feb NBA
Heat 117-128 Bucks

Previous Charlotte Hornets Lineups

14 Mar NBA
Hornets 102-115 Spurs
11 Mar NBA
Hornets 117-109 Kings
10 Mar NBA
Hornets 103-101 Trail Blazers
08 Mar NBA
Hornets 99-111 Suns
06 Mar NBA
Heat 128-120 Hornets
04 Mar NBA
Hornets 118-89 Celtics
03 Mar NBA
Mavericks 90-117 Hornets
28 Feb NBA
Trail Blazers 93-109 Hornets
26 Feb NBA
Hornets 133-109 Pacers
24 Feb NBA
Hornets 131-99 Bulls

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 45 23 0.662 114.3 107.1 7.2 23-10 22-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 45 25 0.643 117.1 110.6 6.5 25-9 20-16 11-3 29-15 7-3 4W
Raptors 38 29 0.567 113.6 111.9 1.7 19-16 19-13 4-10 28-16 4-6 2W
76ers 37 31 0.544 115.6 116 -0.4 20-16 17-15 9-7 22-23 5-5 2W
Nets 17 51 0.25 106.6 115.6 -9 9-24 8-27 3-11 12-31 2-8 4L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 49 19 0.721 117.4 109.9 7.5 26-8 23-11 10-4 33-11 5-5 1W
Cavaliers 42 27 0.609 119.1 114.9 4.2 22-13 20-14 9-5 27-17 5-5 1W
Bulls 28 40 0.412 116 120 -4 17-18 11-22 4-10 17-26 4-6 1W
Bucks 28 40 0.412 111.3 116.2 -4.9 16-19 12-21 9-6 20-27 2-8 1L
Pacers 15 54 0.217 111.2 120.1 -8.9 10-24 5-30 3-10 11-33 0-10 14L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Magic 38 30 0.559 115.5 114.2 1.3 22-13 16-17 9-6 24-20 7-3 2L
Heat 38 31 0.551 120.2 116.9 3.3 23-12 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 2L
Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
Hornets 35 34 0.507 115.8 112.2 3.6 15-17 20-17 10-5 21-22 7-3 1W
Wizards 16 52 0.235 112.8 123.8 -11 11-24 5-28 2-12 11-32 0-10 13L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 54 15 0.783 118.4 107.7 10.7 29-7 25-8 11-3 37-9 9-1 9W
Timberwolves 42 27 0.609 118.4 115 3.4 23-12 19-15 8-6 26-20 6-4 1W
Nuggets 41 27 0.603 120.7 116.7 4 18-13 23-14 6-5 25-15 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 33 36 0.478 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 15-20 6-7 24-19 5-5 1W
Jazz 20 48 0.294 117.3 124.9 -7.6 12-22 8-26 1-11 11-32 2-8 3L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 43 25 0.632 116.3 114.9 1.4 23-12 20-13 8-7 29-16 9-1 6W
Suns 39 30 0.565 112.4 111.4 1 22-13 17-17 10-6 25-19 6-4 3L
Clippers 34 34 0.5 113.5 112.7 0.8 19-15 15-19 8-6 21-21 7-3 2L
Warriors 33 35 0.485 115.3 114.4 0.9 19-15 14-20 6-6 22-22 3-7 1W
Kings 18 51 0.261 110.8 120.6 -9.8 12-23 6-28 3-10 12-34 5-5 2W
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 50 18 0.735 118.8 111.8 7 26-7 24-11 11-3 29-14 8-2 2W
Rockets 41 26 0.612 113.8 109.8 4 23-9 18-17 7-6 23-20 5-5 1L
Grizzlies 23 44 0.343 115.6 118.6 -3 12-20 11-24 6-7 18-27 2-8 8L
Pelicans 23 46 0.333 115.6 119.7 -4.1 14-21 9-25 7-8 14-30 6-4 1W
Mavericks 23 46 0.333 113.2 118.2 -5 14-20 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 1L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 49 19 0.721 117.4 109.9 7.5 26-8 23-11 10-4 33-11 5-5 1W
Celtics 45 23 0.662 114.3 107.1 7.2 23-10 22-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 45 25 0.643 117.1 110.6 6.5 25-9 20-16 11-3 29-15 7-3 4W
Cavaliers 42 27 0.609 119.1 114.9 4.2 22-13 20-14 9-5 27-17 5-5 1W
Magic 38 30 0.559 115.5 114.2 1.3 22-13 16-17 9-6 24-20 7-3 2L
Raptors 38 29 0.567 113.6 111.9 1.7 19-16 19-13 4-10 28-16 4-6 2W
Heat 38 31 0.551 120.2 116.9 3.3 23-12 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 2L
Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
76ers 37 31 0.544 115.6 116 -0.4 20-16 17-15 9-7 22-23 5-5 2W
Hornets 35 34 0.507 115.8 112.2 3.6 15-17 20-17 10-5 21-22 7-3 1W
Bucks 28 40 0.412 111.3 116.2 -4.9 16-19 12-21 9-6 20-27 2-8 1L
Bulls 28 40 0.412 116 120 -4 17-18 11-22 4-10 17-26 4-6 1W
Nets 17 51 0.25 106.6 115.6 -9 9-24 8-27 3-11 12-31 2-8 4L
Wizards 16 52 0.235 112.8 123.8 -11 11-24 5-28 2-12 11-32 0-10 13L
Pacers 15 54 0.217 111.2 120.1 -8.9 10-24 5-30 3-10 11-33 0-10 14L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 54 15 0.783 118.4 107.7 10.7 29-7 25-8 11-3 37-9 9-1 9W
Spurs 50 18 0.735 118.8 111.8 7 26-7 24-11 11-3 29-14 8-2 2W
Lakers 43 25 0.632 116.3 114.9 1.4 23-12 20-13 8-7 29-16 9-1 6W
Rockets 41 26 0.612 113.8 109.8 4 23-9 18-17 7-6 23-20 5-5 1L
Timberwolves 42 27 0.609 118.4 115 3.4 23-12 19-15 8-6 26-20 6-4 1W
Nuggets 41 27 0.603 120.7 116.7 4 18-13 23-14 6-5 25-15 5-5 1L
Suns 39 30 0.565 112.4 111.4 1 22-13 17-17 10-6 25-19 6-4 3L
Clippers 34 34 0.5 113.5 112.7 0.8 19-15 15-19 8-6 21-21 7-3 2L
Warriors 33 35 0.485 115.3 114.4 0.9 19-15 14-20 6-6 22-22 3-7 1W
Trail Blazers 33 36 0.478 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 15-20 6-7 24-19 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 23 44 0.343 115.6 118.6 -3 12-20 11-24 6-7 18-27 2-8 8L
Pelicans 23 46 0.333 115.6 119.7 -4.1 14-21 9-25 7-8 14-30 6-4 1W
Mavericks 23 46 0.333 113.2 118.2 -5 14-20 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 1L
Jazz 20 48 0.294 117.3 124.9 -7.6 12-22 8-26 1-11 11-32 2-8 3L
Kings 18 51 0.261 110.8 120.6 -9.8 12-23 6-28 3-10 12-34 5-5 2W
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 54 15 0.783 118.4 107.7 10.7 29-7 25-8 11-3 37-9 9-1 9W
Spurs 50 18 0.735 118.8 111.8 7 26-7 24-11 11-3 29-14 8-2 2W
Pistons 49 19 0.721 117.4 109.9 7.5 26-8 23-11 10-4 33-11 5-5 1W
Celtics 45 23 0.662 114.3 107.1 7.2 23-10 22-13 9-5 29-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 45 25 0.643 117.1 110.6 6.5 25-9 20-16 11-3 29-15 7-3 4W
Lakers 43 25 0.632 116.3 114.9 1.4 23-12 20-13 8-7 29-16 9-1 6W
Rockets 41 26 0.612 113.8 109.8 4 23-9 18-17 7-6 23-20 5-5 1L
Cavaliers 42 27 0.609 119.1 114.9 4.2 22-13 20-14 9-5 27-17 5-5 1W
Timberwolves 42 27 0.609 118.4 115 3.4 23-12 19-15 8-6 26-20 6-4 1W
Nuggets 41 27 0.603 120.7 116.7 4 18-13 23-14 6-5 25-15 5-5 1L
Raptors 38 29 0.567 113.6 111.9 1.7 19-16 19-13 4-10 28-16 4-6 2W
Suns 39 30 0.565 112.4 111.4 1 22-13 17-17 10-6 25-19 6-4 3L
Magic 38 30 0.559 115.5 114.2 1.3 22-13 16-17 9-6 24-20 7-3 2L
Heat 38 31 0.551 120.2 116.9 3.3 23-12 15-19 7-7 22-20 7-3 2L
Hawks 37 31 0.544 117.8 116.6 1.2 19-16 18-15 8-6 22-21 10-0 10W
76ers 37 31 0.544 115.6 116 -0.4 20-16 17-15 9-7 22-23 5-5 2W
Hornets 35 34 0.507 115.8 112.2 3.6 15-17 20-17 10-5 21-22 7-3 1W
Clippers 34 34 0.5 113.5 112.7 0.8 19-15 15-19 8-6 21-21 7-3 2L
Warriors 33 35 0.485 115.3 114.4 0.9 19-15 14-20 6-6 22-22 3-7 1W
Trail Blazers 33 36 0.478 115.1 117.2 -2.1 18-16 15-20 6-7 24-19 5-5 1W
Bulls 28 40 0.412 116 120 -4 17-18 11-22 4-10 17-26 4-6 1W
Bucks 28 40 0.412 111.3 116.2 -4.9 16-19 12-21 9-6 20-27 2-8 1L
Grizzlies 23 44 0.343 115.6 118.6 -3 12-20 11-24 6-7 18-27 2-8 8L
Mavericks 23 46 0.333 113.2 118.2 -5 14-20 9-26 4-11 12-30 2-8 1L
Pelicans 23 46 0.333 115.6 119.7 -4.1 14-21 9-25 7-8 14-30 6-4 1W
Jazz 20 48 0.294 117.3 124.9 -7.6 12-22 8-26 1-11 11-32 2-8 3L
Kings 18 51 0.261 110.8 120.6 -9.8 12-23 6-28 3-10 12-34 5-5 2W
Nets 17 51 0.25 106.6 115.6 -9 9-24 8-27 3-11 12-31 2-8 4L
Wizards 16 52 0.235 112.8 123.8 -11 11-24 5-28 2-12 11-32 0-10 13L
Pacers 15 54 0.217 111.2 120.1 -8.9 10-24 5-30 3-10 11-33 0-10 14L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak