Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Thursday

Our prediction is for the Bucks to cover the attractive -7 line in their meeting with the Heat. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -108 is available on the spread.

Miami Heat have had back-to-back road defeats. In the previous game, they suffered a 116-107 home loss against Portland Trail Blazers at Kaseya Center. Duncan Robinson scored 22 points, with Kel'el Ware getting 20 and Jimmy Butler 13.

Milwaukee Bucks won their last game 123-109, making it five home wins on the bounce. This was recorded at Fiserv Forum against Philadelphia 76ers. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 34 points and had 15 rebounds, while Damian Lillard recorded 25 points and Khris Middleton 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bucks won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 106-103 victory was registered against the Heat at Kaseya Center. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Heat are averaging 110.2 points, 44.6 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 7.4 steals and 4.6 blocks while shooting 45.8% from the field and 81.0% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 112.9 points and 48.3 rebounds per matchup.

Tyler Herro is averaging 21.6 points and 3.4 (39.5%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo averages 8.3 rebounds and Nikola Jovic 4.5 assists.

The Bucks have won 7 and lost 3 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 118.1 points, 46.7 rebounds, 26.1 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 49.9% from the field and 72.9% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 110.2 points and 43.8 rebounds.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.7 points, 12.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists, while Damian Lillard has an average of 3.6 (46.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson.

Milwaukee Bucks lineup: Damian Lillard, Brook Lopez, Taurean Prince, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Andre Jackson.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks

Place a wager on Bucks with a -7 spread in this NBA contest. We’re confident the moneyline favorites can cover this appealing line at odds of -108.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert NBA predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Heat vs Bucks stats:

• The -7 line has been covered by Bucks in all of their last 5 games at home.
• The -7 line has been covered by Bucks in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -7 line has been covered by Bucks in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +7 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Bucks -7 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Our Game Prediction

Bucks -7 @ -108 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Damian Lillard Over 23.5 Points -122

Damian Lillard (Bucks) has recorded Over 23.5 points in 5 straight home games. This leads us nicely to back him to cover the Player Points line, with odds of -122 on offer for this bet.

Latest Damian Lillard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 25.5

-106

Under 25.5

-125

Assists

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-149

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+123

Under 4.5

-161

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Duncan Robinson Under 11.5 Points -108

Duncan Robinson (Heat) has an average of 6 points in the past 5 road games. We can use this stat to our advantage and back him to fall short of the Player Points line at -108.

Latest Duncan Robinson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-120

Assists

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-123

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Correct Score Prediction

Heat 102 - 114 Bucks

Rather than betting on the Bucks to win, there’s the alternative to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 114-102 victory in their favor.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Milwaukee Bucks have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 71% probability due to their -244 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Miami Heat are least likely to win at +200.

The current spread is 6 and the total points line is 225.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 225.5 at -112.

The Bucks can be backed in lots of ways and that includes Race to 20 Points where they are -150 favorites. The Heat are +120 should you think they’ll make this total first instead.

If you’re planning to place a basketball wager, visit the betting sites and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Heat

+200

Bucks

-244

Point Spread

Heat +6

-112

Bucks -6

-108

Total Points

Under 225.5

-112

Over 225.5

-108

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -123 can be found for him scoring Over 29.5 points and there is -108 for him to go Under.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 29.5

-123

Under 29.5

-108

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 25.5

-106

Under 25.5

-125

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 23.5

-115

Under 23.5

-115

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 14.5

-128

Under 14.5

-104

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 14.5

-100

Under 14.5

-132

Khris Middleton (Bucks)

Over 12.5

-120

Under 12.5

-112

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-105

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-120

Brook Lopez (Bucks)

Over 11.5

-104

Under 11.5

-128

Bobby Portis (Bucks)

Over 10.5

-122

Under 10.5

-109

Taurean Prince (Bucks)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-132

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-149

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-115

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

+114

Under 5.5

-149

Khris Middleton (Bucks)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+118

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+108

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-152

Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Over 13.5

+108

Under 13.5

-143

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-141

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 8.5

-128

Under 8.5

-104

Bobby Portis (Bucks)

Over 7.5

-120

Under 7.5

-110

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-125

Brook Lopez (Bucks)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-137

Damian Lillard (Bucks)

Over 4.5

+123

Under 4.5

-161

Nikola Jovic (Heat)

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-103

Khris Middleton (Bucks)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-109

Taurean Prince (Bucks)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-179

Duncan Robinson (Heat)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-123

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Milwaukee Bucks Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 218.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 220.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 220.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 107.30 pts and allowed 113.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 106.70 pts and allowed 112.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 235.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 220.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 220.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.40 pts and allowed 118.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 123.20 pts and allowed 112.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.70 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (75.65%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 10.40, Defensive 34.50
• Assists: 25.60
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 6.20
• Turnovers : 13.50
• Personal Fouls: 15.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.70 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.10 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.00 (78.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.8, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 34.90
• Assists: 24.70
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 6.20
• Turnovers : 15.40
• Personal Fouls: 17.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.00 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.40 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.20 (76.42%)
• Rebounds: Total 43, Offensive 9.30, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 6.80
• Turnovers : 13.30
• Personal Fouls: 18.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.60 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.90 (42%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.30 (76.89%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.2, Offensive 9.30, Defensive 37.90
• Assists: 27.10
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 5.70
• Turnovers : 12.50
• Personal Fouls: 19.20

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks Confirmed Lineup

0 Damian Lillard

11 Brook Lopez

12 Taurean Prince

34 Giannis Antetokounmpo

44 Andre Jackson

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

9 Pelle Larsson

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

55 Duncan Robinson

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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