Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

The Wolves at +4.5 looks a great number for the underdogs when they face the Rockets. Take the -114 that this betting line gets covered.

Minnesota Timberwolves won their previous game which was at home. It was a 116-101 triumph at Target Center against Oklahoma City Thunder. Naz Reid scored 27 points, with Anthony Edwards getting 23 and Jaden McDaniels 21.

Houston Rockets lost when they last took to the court. At Toyota Center, they were turned over 105-98 at home to Golden State Warriors. Aaron Holiday was able to score 25 points, with Jock Landale getting 13 and Jeenathan Williams 11.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Wolves have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Rockets. At Toyota Center, the scoreline was 113-112 and then we saw 127-114 at Target Center. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Wolves have won eight.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W

View Full Standings

The Wolves have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 116.8 points, 45.9 rebounds, 26.6 assists, 6.6 steals and 5.6 blocks while shooting 46.0% from the field and 82.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.9 points and 41.4 rebounds per contest.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.5 points, 4.1 assists and 3.8 (39.2%) 3-pointers made, while Rudy Gobert averages 10.1 rebounds.

The Rockets have won 3 and lost 7 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 106.2 points, 47.2 rebounds, 22.9 assists, 7.7 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 43.0% from the field and 73.8% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 109.5 points and 42.5 rebounds.

Jalen Green is averaging 21.4 points and 2.7 (31.0%) 3-pointers made, while Amen Thompson has an average of 7.8 rebounds and 6.4 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves lineup: Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mike Conley, Naz Reid.

Houston Rockets lineup: Amen Thompson, Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks

The betting line makes lots of appeal considering it’s set at +4.5 and our prediction is that Wolves should be able to cover it in this NBA contest. There is -114 available for this outcome.

The NBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to analyzing the latest stats.

Key Timberwolves vs Rockets stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 2 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Rockets in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Wolves in 2 consecutive games against Rockets.

Wolves +4.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 53.2% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There's always the option to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how risky or safe you want to play things.

Our Game Prediction

Wolves +4.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alperen Sengun Under 18.5 Points -114

Alperen Sengun (Rockets) has totaled an average of 11.25 points in the past 4 home games. We’re expecting him to fall short when it comes to Player Points and there are odds of -114 available.

Latest Alperen Sengun Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-118

Under 18.5

-114

Assists

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Rebounds

Over 10.5

+105

Under 10.5

-139

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Amen Thompson Over 8.5 Rebounds -127

Amen Thompson (Rockets) has secured Over 8.5 rebounds in 5 straight home games. There is odds of -127 available when it comes to this Player Rebounds bet and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Amen Thompson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-120

Under 15.5

-109

Assists

Over 5.5

+116

Under 5.5

-154

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

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Correct Score Prediction

Timberwolves 111 - 109 Rockets

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Timberwolves to enjoy a 111-109 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Houston Rockets as -154 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 61% likely to win. The market suggests that Minnesota Timberwolves are least likely to win at +130.

The spread is 3 and the total points line is currently 221.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to wager Over 221.5, there are odds of -110.

If you think the Rockets can reach 20 points first, then odds of -135 are available for the favorites to win. On the flip side, the Wolves are +105 to reach this total before their opponents.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Timberwolves

+130

Rockets

-154

Point Spread

Timberwolves +3

-110

Rockets -3

-110

Total Points

Under 221.5

-110

Over 221.5

-110

Anthony Edwards is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -109 that he goes Over 29.5 points and -122 when it comes to Under.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 29.5

-109

Under 29.5

-122

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 21.5

-106

Under 21.5

-125

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 18.5

-120

Under 18.5

-110

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 18.5

-118

Under 18.5

-114

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 15.5

-120

Under 15.5

-109

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 13.5

-115

Under 13.5

-115

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 13.5

-104

Under 13.5

-128

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-125

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 11.5

-106

Under 11.5

-125

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-100

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-114

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 5.5

+116

Under 5.5

-154

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-161

Under 4.5

+120

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+105

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+115

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-106

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-110

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-179

Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)

Over 11.5

-109

Under 11.5

-122

Alperen Sengun (Rockets)

Over 10.5

+105

Under 10.5

-139

Amen Thompson (Rockets)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-105

Naz Reid (Timberwolves)

Over 7.5

-127

Under 7.5

-105

Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-137

Tari Eason (Rockets)

Over 6.5

-122

Under 6.5

-108

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+110

Jabari Smith Jr (Rockets)

Over 4.5

-161

Under 4.5

+120

Jalen Green (Rockets)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+104

Dillon Brooks (Rockets)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-179

Mike Conley (Timberwolves)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-110

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Timberwolves Stats

Houston Rockets Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 226.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 216: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 116.80 pts and allowed 109.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 113.60 pts and allowed 108.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 215.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 211.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 216: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 216 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 106.20 pts and allowed 109.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 104.90 pts and allowed 106.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.10 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.20 (82.76%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.9, Offensive 13.40, Defensive 32.50
• Assists: 26.60
• Blocks: 5.60
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 12.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.20

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 23.90 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.80 (79.09%)
• Rebounds: Total 44, Offensive 11.10, Defensive 32.90
• Assists: 24.20
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 14.30
• Personal Fouls: 18.80

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.60 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.60 (73.78%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.2, Offensive 14.80, Defensive 32.40
• Assists: 22.90
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 7.70
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.10 (49%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.10 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.40 (69.9%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.4, Offensive 14.20, Defensive 31.20
• Assists: 20.70
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 9.60
• Turnovers : 14.50
• Personal Fouls: 18.80

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets Confirmed Lineup

1 Amen Thompson

4 Jalen Green

9 Dillon Brooks

17 Tari Eason

28 Alperen Sengun

Minnesota Timberwolves Confirmed Lineup

3 Jaden McDaniels

5 Anthony Edwards

9 Nickeil Alexander-Walker

10 Mike Conley

11 Naz Reid

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	24	1	0.96	123.6	106.2	17.4	12-0	12-1	5-1	20-1	10-0	16W
Pistons	20	5	0.8	119.6	113.3	6.3	12-2	8-3	5-3	15-5	7-3	3W
Nuggets	18	6	0.75	125.5	115.9	9.6	6-4	12-2	2-1	13-5	7-3	4W
Rockets	16	6	0.727	120.6	110.4	10.2	8-2	8-4	2-2	9-5	7-3	1W
Knicks	18	7	0.72	121	112.2	8.8	13-1	5-6	5-1	14-7	9-1	5W
Lakers	17	7	0.708	118.3	116.8	1.5	7-4	10-3	2-2	12-5	7-3	1L
Spurs	17	7	0.708	120.1	115.4	4.7	9-2	8-5	7-0	11-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	16	9	0.64	119.9	115	4.9	8-4	8-5	3-3	11-8	6-4	1W
Celtics	15	10	0.6	116.6	110.8	5.8	8-4	7-6	4-4	11-7	7-3	1L
76ers	14	10	0.583	116.8	115.7	1.1	8-7	6-3	5-2	12-9	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	15	11	0.577	119	115.8	3.2	9-6	6-5	6-0	12-8	5-5	1W
Magic	15	11	0.577	117.9	114.1	3.8	10-5	5-6	5-2	12-9	6-4	1L
Raptors	15	11	0.577	115.8	113.9	1.9	8-6	7-5	3-4	13-7	4-6	4L
Heat	14	11	0.56	121.7	118.2	3.5	10-3	4-8	2-3	8-6	5-5	4L
Suns	14	11	0.56	114.8	114.4	0.4	8-4	6-7	5-2	13-10	5-5	1L
Hawks	14	12	0.538	117.9	117.5	0.4	4-6	10-6	4-1	8-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	13	13	0.5	113.7	112.3	1.4	7-4	6-9	3-1	10-8	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	11	14	0.44	114.1	115.9	-1.8	6-7	5-7	4-3	10-8	7-3	1L
Bucks	11	15	0.423	115.1	117.3	-2.2	8-7	3-8	3-4	9-11	3-7	1W
Bulls	10	14	0.417	117.8	122.7	-4.9	6-5	4-9	1-5	7-10	2-8	1W
Mavericks	10	16	0.385	112.1	115.9	-3.8	7-9	3-7	2-5	5-11	6-4	2W
Jazz	9	15	0.375	118.1	125.8	-7.7	6-7	3-8	0-5	5-11	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	9	16	0.36	117.5	121.5	-4	3-6	6-10	3-3	7-11	3-7	3L
Hornets	7	18	0.28	114.7	118.7	-4	5-8	2-10	1-4	6-12	3-7	2L
Nets	6	18	0.25	109.5	117.3	-7.8	2-10	4-8	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	6	19	0.24	111	118.7	-7.7	5-8	1-11	2-5	4-10	4-6	1L
Clippers	6	19	0.24	111.6	116.7	-5.1	3-7	3-12	1-4	4-12	2-8	3L
Kings	6	19	0.24	111.2	122.6	-11.4	3-8	3-11	1-3	4-16	3-7	2L
Pelicans	4	22	0.154	114.2	123.5	-9.3	3-12	1-10	1-6	2-19	2-8	1W
Wizards	3	20	0.13	113	128.3	-15.3	2-9	1-11	1-3	2-16	2-8	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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