Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Thunder ATS Look the Value Bet

NBA Playoffs – Western Conference Semifinal: Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25, first in the Western Conference) host Dallas Mavericks (50-32, fifth in the Western Conference) in the first game of the series.

Place a wager on the Thunder with a -3.5 spread when they play the Mavericks. We’re confident they can cover this appealing line at odds of -110.

135-86 Win for Thunder in Pair’s Previous Clash

Dallas Mavericks have won their previous two games. The latest was a 114-101 home triumph at American Airlines Center against LA Clippers. Kyrie Irving managed to secure 30 points and 4 assists. He was on target to bag 3 free throws and 11 field goals.

Oklahoma City Thunder won their last game 97-89, making it nine on the bounce. This was a road victory at Smoothie King Center against New Orleans Pelicans. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s performance included 24 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists.

The Thunder have beaten the Mavs in their last two meetings, winning by 126-119 and 135-86 scorelines. Both matchups were played at Paycom Center. We’ve seen six Thunder wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

The Mavs have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 105.8 points, 43.8 rebounds, 22.8 assists, 7.0 steals and 6.0 blocks while shooting 45.7% from the field and 73.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 104.0 points and 43.5 rebounds per contest.

Luka Doncic is averaging 24.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 7.6 assists, while Kyrie Irving averages 2.9 (44.6%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won 9 and lost 1 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 115.3 points, 44.7 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 9.6 steals and 5.6 blocks per game while shooting 49.8% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 98.9 points and 44.3 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 21.3 points, Chet Holmgren 8.6 rebounds and Josh Giddey 5.6 assists, while Luguentz Dort has an average of 2.4 (46.2%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, PJ Washington, Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams.

Expert NBA Analysis

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together NBA forecasts. Once we’ve also looked at the form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Mavericks vs Thunder stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 3 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 2 consecutive games against Thunder.

Bet on OKC Thunder against the spread, with an attractive line of -3.5 that the favorites get the job done. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this NBA matchup.

If you want to pimp the odds about the Thunder against the spread, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this prediction with other selections.

Thunder -3.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

Thunder -3.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Top Pick: Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points -111

Jalen Williams (Thunder) has recorded Over 20.5 points in 3 straight games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of -111.

Current Jalen Williams Lines and Odds

21.5 Points

Over -118

Under -112

5.5 Assists

Over +117

Under -156

5.5 Rebounds

Over +114

Under -152

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 104 - 110 Thunder

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Thunder can be backed speculatively to achieve a 110-104 victory.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Thunder as Favorites

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Oklahoma City Thunder are -185 favorites to win and that means a 65% chance of landing a victory. At +155, Dallas Mavericks are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 218.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. There’s the chance to back Under 218.5 at -110.

Wagering on the Race to 20 Points allows bettors to back favorites Thunder at -135. On the flip side, the Mavs are +105 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mavericks

+155

Thunder

-185

Point Spread

Mavericks +4.5

-110

Thunder -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 218.5

-110

Over 218.5

-110

Luka Dončić Favorite to Get Most Points

Luka Dončić is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -105 that he scores Over 32.5 points or -125 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Luka Dončić (Mavericks)

Over 32.5

-105

Under 32.5

-125

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 29.5

-103

Under 29.5

-128

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 25.5

-104

Under 25.5

-127

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

-118

Under 21.5

-112

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

-118

Under 15.5

-112

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-118

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

+102

Josh Giddey (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-112

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-120

Derrick Jones Jr. (Mavericks)

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

+102

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-116

Josh Green (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

+102

Player Assists

Luka Dončić (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+108

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

+112

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-156

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-161

Under 4.5

+123

Josh Giddey (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+110

Player Rebounds

Luka Dončić (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-114

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+108

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-130

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+116

Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

+123

Under 5.5

-164

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+114

Under 5.5

-152

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-102

Josh Giddey (Thunder)

Over 5.5

-159

Under 5.5

+118

Derrick Jones Jr. (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-147

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+107

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

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Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

3 Josh Giddey

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

11 Kyrie Irving

21 Daniel Gafford

25 PJ Washington

55 Derrick Jones Jr.

77 Luka Doncic

NBA Standings Select Season 2023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	64	18	0.78	120.6	109.2	11.4	37-4	27-14	15-2	41-11	7-3	2W
Thunder	57	25	0.695	120.1	112.7	7.4	33-8	24-17	12-4	36-16	7-3	5W
Nuggets	57	25	0.695	114.9	109.6	5.3	33-8	24-17	10-6	33-19	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	56	26	0.683	113	106.5	6.5	30-11	26-15	12-4	37-15	6-4	1L
Clippers	51	31	0.622	115.6	112.3	3.3	25-16	26-15	9-7	30-22	6-4	3L
Mavericks	50	32	0.61	117.9	115.6	2.3	25-16	25-16	11-5	31-21	7-3	2L
Knicks	50	32	0.61	112.8	108.2	4.6	27-14	23-18	12-5	35-17	6-4	5W
Bucks	49	33	0.598	119	116.4	2.6	31-11	18-22	10-7	34-18	3-7	2L
Suns	49	33	0.598	116.2	113.2	3	25-16	24-17	9-9	29-23	7-3	3W
Pelicans	49	33	0.598	115.1	110.7	4.4	21-19	28-14	9-7	30-22	5-5	1L
Cavaliers	48	34	0.585	112.6	110.2	2.4	26-15	22-19	11-5	31-21	4-6	1L
Pacers	47	35	0.573	123.3	120.2	3.1	26-15	21-20	11-6	32-20	7-3	1W
Lakers	47	35	0.573	118	117.4	0.6	28-14	19-21	7-10	27-25	7-3	2W
76ers	47	35	0.573	114.6	111.5	3.1	25-16	22-19	8-8	31-21	8-2	8W
Magic	47	35	0.573	110.5	108.4	2.1	29-12	18-23	9-7	32-20	5-5	1W
Warriors	46	36	0.561	117.8	115.2	2.6	21-20	25-16	7-9	26-26	8-2	1W
Kings	46	36	0.561	116.6	114.8	1.8	24-17	22-19	10-7	30-22	4-6	1W
Heat	46	36	0.561	110.1	108.4	1.7	22-19	24-17	13-3	32-20	7-3	2W
Rockets	41	41	0.5	114.3	113.2	1.1	27-14	14-27	9-7	28-24	4-6	2W
Bulls	39	43	0.476	112.3	113.7	-1.4	20-21	19-22	7-9	22-29	5-5	1L
Hawks	36	46	0.439	118.3	120.5	-2.2	21-20	15-26	8-8	22-30	3-7	6L
Nets	32	50	0.39	110.4	113.3	-2.9	20-21	12-29	5-11	24-28	5-5	2L
Jazz	31	51	0.378	115.7	120.5	-4.8	21-20	10-31	5-11	16-36	2-8	1L
Grizzlies	27	55	0.329	105.8	112.8	-7	9-32	18-23	8-8	14-37	3-7	5L
Raptors	25	57	0.305	112.4	118.8	-6.4	14-27	11-30	1-15	18-34	2-8	4L
Spurs	22	60	0.268	112.1	118.6	-6.5	12-29	10-31	3-13	14-37	6-4	2W
Hornets	21	61	0.256	106.6	116.8	-10.2	11-30	10-31	6-10	14-38	3-7	1W
Trail Blazers	21	61	0.256	106.4	115.4	-9	11-30	10-31	1-15	8-44	2-8	5L
Wizards	15	67	0.183	113.7	123	-9.3	7-34	8-33	4-12	11-41	1-9	6L
Pistons	14	68	0.171	109.9	119	-9.1	7-33	7-35	2-14	10-41	2-8	1L

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