Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Premier League leaders Arsenal host sixth-placed Chelsea in this London derby showdown at Emirates Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 1 March.

The latest stats and performance metrics strongly suggest both teams to score (BTTS), given that Arsenal and Chelsea rank among the league’s leading sides for Expected Goals (xG) created. While Arsenal boast the league’s highest scoring record (56 goals), their recent form shows defensive lapses, with no clean sheets in their last three Premier League games.

Chelsea have seen BTTS land in five consecutive Premier League away matches and in their last five league games overall. Furthermore, the Blues' defensive stability is compromised by the absence of suspended Wesley Fofana and injured Marc Cucurella, increasing the likelihood that the Gunners' elite attack can exploit a reshuffled backline in a derby that has seen both teams score in the three meetings between the sides in all competitions this season.

Our prediction is that both Arsenal and Chelsea will find the net, particularly given the attractive -139 currently available. We believe the BTTS Yes selection offers strong value.

Arsenal got the win in their last outing, triumphing 4-1 away to Tottenham in the North London derby at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Mikel Arteta's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 61% possession and six shots on target, with Eberechi Eze and Viktor Gyoekeres scoring two goals each.

Chelsea drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Burnley at Stamford Bridge. The West London team had two shots on goal and boasted 67% possession, with Joao Pedro finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have triumphed in the last two encounters against Chelsea. On home soil at Emirates Stadium, the scoreline was 1-0 following a 3-2 away win at Stamford Bridge. 7 of the past 10 H2H games have gone the way of Arsenal, with three draws also occurring.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	31	21	7	3	61	22	39	61:22	70
6	Chelsea	31	13	9	9	53	38	15	53:38	48

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 13.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. Arsenal have had 55.0% possession, 438.6 passes and 5.8 corners per match. On average, the Gunners have conceded 1.0 goals from 8.0 attempts and 2.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 5 times, Martin Zubimendi 3, with Eberechi Eze and two other players on 2. Leading assistor is Martin Oedegaard with 4, while goalkeeper David Raya has 4 clean sheets.

Chelsea have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 13.0 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. The Blues average 59.0% possession, 563.6 passes, 6.5 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer have scored 6, followed by Enzo Fernandez with 4. Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer and Marc Cucurella have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Robert Sanchez has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyoekeres.

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, Mamadou Sarr, Jorrel Hato, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Arsenal vs Chelsea tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s easy to back the -139 that’s available when it comes to the BTTS Yes betting selection. Both sides look capable of finding the net in this London derby clash and this looks a value bet.

We use the latest Premier League injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Arsenal vs Chelsea league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Arsenal games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Arsenal games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Arsenal games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 5 straight Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Chelsea games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 58.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.

Don’t place your bets without seeing the latest offers. Our in-depth guide helps you find the best welcome bonuses available today.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 17:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 1 - 1 Chelsea

There are odds of +650 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cole Palmer Over 1.5 Shots -152

Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has recorded over 1.5 shots in six straight Premier League matches. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -152.

Latest Cole Palmer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

---

Pedro Neto to Score +600

Pedro Neto (Chelsea) has racked up three goals in his past ten Premier League matches away from home. It’s worth a play on the +600 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Pedro Neto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1500

Shots

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Arsenal Under 6.5 Corners -147

Arsenal have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in four straight games, with Chelsea conceding under 6.5 corners in the past five matches. We recommend backing the -147 that Arsenal aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

8.90 5.80 3.10

Home

7.90 5.50 2.40

Away

8.30 4.90 3.40

Chelsea

Total

11.00 6.50 4.50

Home

10.90 6.90 4.00

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Arsenal Corners

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-128

Chelsea Corners

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-370

X

+800

2

+340

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arsenal are the shortest price to win this Premier League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 65% probability due to their -189 betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Chelsea are available at +500.

Arsenal -1 on the Asian Handicap means getting -112 that they beat Chelsea by two or more goals. It also means you will get your full stake refunded if they win by one.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -139.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-189

X

+330

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

-100

X

+150

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-455

X2

+143

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+310

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-112

2 Hcp +1

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

+106

Favourite Viktor Gyökeres is priced at +330 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +118.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+118

Anytime

+330

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+175

Anytime

+475

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+185

Anytime

+480

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ben White (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-313

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Arsenal have racked up four consecutive victories at Emirates Stadium. The Gunners have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Chelsea have collected five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Arsenal beat Chelsea 1-0 when the teams last met at Emirates Stadium. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Emirates Stadium have involved Arsenal winning six times and Chelsea registering two victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arsenal Home Stats		7-2-1	3.10	2.20	0.90	7	3	6	4
Chelsea Away Stats		5-3-2	2.70	1.70	1.00	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Arsenal vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Arsenal vs Chelsea team news before placing your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest on injuries.

Arsenal Team Page Chelsea Team Page

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