Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2026
Chelsea vs Brighton Predictions
Wager Brighton +0.75 at -125 in their meeting with Chelsea. Dividing the Asian Handicap stake between +0.5 and +1.0 means we have the safety net if the visitors lose by a goal, with a full payout for a draw or win.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Chelsea vs Brighton, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Chelsea vs Brighton Preview
Chelsea square off against Brighton at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 30 August.
Chelsea started their Premier League season with a 3-2 away victory over Fulham in the West London derby at Craven Cottage. The Blues had just 39% possession but managed six shots on target, with Joao Pedro, Morgan Rogers and Cole Palmer all finding the net.
On Thursday night, Chelsea hosted League One outfit Luton Town in the second round of the EFL Cup and won 2-0.
Brighton's opening Premier League fixture produced an impressive 4-0 home victory over Aston Villa at American Express Stadium. Fabian Hurzeler's side dominated possession with 73% and registered seven shots on target, with Jack Hinshelwood scoring twice, while Maxim De Cuyper also found the net alongside a Victor Nilsson Lindeloef own goal.
In their previous showing, Brighton advanced to the league phase of the Conference League after claiming a 4-0 home victory (4-0 on aggregate) in the second leg of the play-off tie against Norwegian Eliteserien side Tromso.
Brighton Beat Chelsea in their Last H2H Battle
It has been four consecutive victories for Brighton when playing Chelsea. In the last clash, Brighton secured a 3-0 win when hosting at American Express Stadium. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved Brighton winning six times and Chelsea registering four victories.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Brighton |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Chelsea |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
Chelsea have 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Xabi Alonso's men have averaged 52.8% possession, 517.4 passes and 5.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.0 goals from 5.4 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 4.5 corners.
Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro and Enzo Fernandez are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Pedro Neto is the leading assists maker on 2.
Brighton have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 14.8 attempts, 5.7 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Sussex outfit average 59.2% possession, 489.3 passes, 5.0 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.
Jack Hinshelwood has recorded 5 goals, Danny Welbeck 3, with Yankuba Minteh and Mats Wieffer both managing 2. Maxim De Cuyper has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Bart Verbruggen has 5 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Chelsea confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Wesley Fofana, Maxence Lacroix, Levi Colwill, Pedro Neto, Malo Gusto, Romeo Lavia, Jorrel Hato, Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, Joao Pedro.
Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Luka Vuskovic, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Pascal Gross, Olivier Boscagli, Diego Gomez, Malick Junior Yalcouye, Maxim De Cuyper, Charalampos Kostoulas.
Main Match Prediction
We believe that Brighton +0.75 at -125 on the Asian Handicap is the best play for this Premier League clash. The visitors should be able to avoid a loss in this match and potentially win.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Sportsgambler.com boast Premier League expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
In the quest to secure larger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Brighton
When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has had over 1.5 shots on goal in his past two Premier League games. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of +130.
Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton) is available to find the net at +575. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been eight consecutive Brighton away games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 10.90 corners in the last ten Chelsea home matches. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -139.
Chelsea
Brighton
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a same-game multi, have a play on Brighton with an Asian Handicap of +0.75, Yes on the Both Teams to Score market and more than 9.5 corners to be taken.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Chelsea vs Brighton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Chelsea are available at -115 to come away with a triumph in this Premier League clash, meaning a 53% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Brighton are regarded as the least likely winner at +300.
There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Chelsea at +133 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Brighton at +310. The draw is the third option at +138.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -182 on the BTTS market.
When it comes to every Premier League match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
Cole Palmer is available at +115 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +340 to find the net first.
Stats: Premier League matches only
Chelsea have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Brighton are winless in the last three away games. The Seagulls have recorded four defeats, three victories and three draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Brighton overcame Chelsea 3-1 when the sides last met at Stamford Bridge. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge have ended up with four Chelsea wins, two Brighton victories and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.90 | 1.30 | 1.60 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
| Brighton Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 21/04 2026 Brighton 3 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 27/09 2025 Chelsea 1 Brighton 3
- Premier League: 14/02 2025 Brighton 3 Chelsea 0
- FA Cup: 08/02 2025 Brighton 2 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 28/09 2024 Chelsea 4 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 15/05 2024 Brighton 1 Chelsea 2
- Premier League: 03/12 2023 Chelsea 3 Brighton 2
- EFL Cup: 27/09 2023 Chelsea 1 Brighton 0
- Premier League: 15/04 2023 Chelsea 1 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 29/10 2022 Brighton 4 Chelsea 1
Chelsea League Stats
Brighton League Stats
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Chelsea this season are Cole Palmer (1), Joao Pedro (1), Morgan Rogers (1)
- Top Assistors for Chelsea this season are Cole Palmer (1), Joao Pedro (1), Maxence Lacroix (1)
Chelsea vs Brighton Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Chelsea vs Brighton team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Chelsea Substitutes
- 4Valentin Barco
- 11Jamie Gittens
- 18Danny Welbeck
- 24Reece James
- 25Moises Caicedo
- 29Pep Chavarria
- 34Josh Acheampong
- 39Mike Penders
- 41Estevao
Brighton Substitutes
- 4Pascal Struijk
- 6Jaouen Hadjam
- 12Promise David
- 15Ibrahim Osman
- 20Costinha
- 22A. Cozier-Duberry
- 23Jason Steele
- 33Matthew O'Riley
- 49Nehemiah Oriola
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Previous Brighton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Chelsea Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Xabi Alonso
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hull | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 | Nott’m Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Man United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Hull | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Man United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
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