Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Mar 2026

Primera División Betting Preview: Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield

Estudiantes host Vélez Sarsfield, with kick-off set for 17:15 on Monday 2 March.

Vélez Sarsfield look a nice wager to topple Estudiantes and we can take them at -103 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

Estudiantes de La Plata have triumphed in their last three home games. In their last appearance, they beat Newell's Old Boys on the road by a 2-0 scoreline. Eduardo Dominguez's side had seven shots on target and boasted 62% possession, while Tiago Palacios and Fabricio Perez scored one goal apiece.

Vélez Sarsfield played Deportivo Riestra at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw. El Fortín dominated possession with 70% of the ball and recorded three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent head-to-head saw Vélez record a 2-0 home victory against Estudiantes. There have been five Vélez triumphs and three Estudiantes wins in the previous 8 games involving these sides.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Vélez Sarsfield	12	6	4	2	14	9	5	14:9	22
5	Estudiantes	12	6	3	3	14	6	8	14:6	21

View Full Table

Estudiantes have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. The La Plata club have averaged 50.7% possession and 3.9 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 5.1 corners from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

Tiago Palacios is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Fabricio Perez and Guido Carrillo each have 2. Edwuin Cetre and Joaquin Tobio Burgos are tied for the most assists on 2.

Vélez have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 3.1 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 0.8 goals. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team average 51.3% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Matias Pellegrini has landed 3 goals, Manuel Lanzini 2, with Jano Gordon and two others scoring 1. Diego Valdes is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Estudiantes confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fernando Muslera (GK), Eric Meza, Leandro Gonzalez Pirez, Tomas Palacios, Gaston Benedetti, Mikel Amondarain, Ezequiel Piovi, Tiago Palacios, Fabricio Perez, Edwuin Cetre, Guido Carrillo.

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alvaro Montero (GK), Roberto Garcia, Emanuel Mammana, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Claudio Baeza, Lucas Robertone, Tobias Andrada, Manuel Lanzini, Imanol Machuca, Florian Monzon.

Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our top Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’ll side with Vélez Sarsfield +0.25 for this Primera División clash, with an attractive -103 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Primera División stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estudiantes in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estudiantes in 5 of their last 8 games against Vélez.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 50.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

In the quest to get more juice, there’s an option to sell goals with your Asian Handicap bet. Alternatively, play things safer and choose to buy goals instead.

Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Vélez Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -103 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 23:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Estudiantes 0 - 1 Vélez

A 1-0 win in favor of Vélez can be backed at odds of +600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Braian Romero To Score +350

Braian Romero (Vélez) can be wagered at +350 to find the net. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Braian Romero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vélez Over 3.5 Corners -154

There’s been an average 6.20 Vélez corners in their past 5 away games, while Estudiantes have conceded more than 3.5 corners in three consecutive home matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Vélez Team Corners line to get covered at -154.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estudiantes

Total

9.00 3.90 5.10

Home

9.40 5.40 4.00

Away

8.30 4.00 4.30

Vélez

Total

9.30 4.60 4.70

Home

8.90 4.80 4.10

Away

10.00 5.00 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-147

Estudiantes Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-100

Vélez Corners

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-149

X

+650

2

+150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 45% chance of winning, Estudiantes might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are +120 when it comes to this Primera División encounter. Vélez Sarsfield are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +320.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Estudiantes at -238 and Vélez at +160.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -189 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Primera División games.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+175

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

-122

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-227

X2

-154

Draw No Bet

1

-238

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-278

Over 2.5

+205

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+130

No

-189

You will find Guido Carrillo at +650 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +310 that he finds the net at anytime.

Guido Carrillo (Estudiantes)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Lucas Alario (Estudiantes)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Edwuin Cetré (Estudiantes)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes)

First

+475

Anytime

+900

Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Brian Aguirre (Estudiantes)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Lucas Cornejo (Estudiantes)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

José Ernesto Sosa (Estudiantes)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Joaquín Pereyra (Estudiantes)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Ezequiel Piovi (Estudiantes)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Lineups & Team News

The Estudiantes vs Vélez team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Estudiantes de La Plata Team Page Vélez Sarsfield Team Page

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