Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Apr 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Mallorca vs Real Madrid

Third-from-bottom Mallorca host second-placed Real Madrid at Estadi Son Moix, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 4 April.

We’re going for Mallorca on the Asian Handicap +1 at -112 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw when clashing with Real Madrid. However, a one-goal defeat would see our stake refunded.

Mallorca were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Elche at Estadio Martínez Valero. Martin Demichelis' team had 53% possession and managed four shots on target, with Pablo Torre being the goalscorer.

Real Madrid beat Atlético Madrid in their previous game, making it three consecutive wins. It was a 3-2 home triumph at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues had 53% possession and managed ten shots on goal, while Vinicius Junior was on the scoresheet twice and Federico Valverde also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Madrid have won the last two clashes against Mallorca, achieving winning home scorelines of 2-1 and 2-1 at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H games have involved eight Madrid victories, a single draw and one Mallorca win.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	30	22	3	5	64	28	36	64:28	69
17	Mallorca	30	8	7	15	36	48	-12	36:48	31

View Full Table

Mallorca have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. The Palma outfit have averaged 46.9% possession, 412.3 passes and 3.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.9 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 16.8 attempts and 7.0 corners.

Vedat Muriqi leads the way with 7 goals, while Pablo Torre and Samu have 3 and 2 respectively. Leading assistor is Sergi Darder with 3.

Madrid have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 2.2 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.9% possession, 609.2 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 3.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.

Vinicius Junior has top scored with 6, followed by Kylian Mbappe and Federico Valverde on 5 and 4. Trent Alexander-Arnold, Arda Guler and Brahim Diaz are top assists providers with 2, while Thibaut Courtois has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mallorca confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Leo Roman (GK), Pablo Maffeo, Martin Valjent, Omar Mascarell, Johan Mojica, Samu, Sergi Darder, Manu Morlanes, Pablo Torre, Zito Luvumbo, Vedat Muriqi.

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Manuel Angel, Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Guler, Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe.

Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Mallorca vs Real Madrid betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

In order for our Mallorca +1 bet to land at -112, we need the underdogs to win or draw this La Liga game. We think Los Piratas will make the game competitive and feel confident with this Asian Handicap wager.

The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the La Liga team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.

Key Mallorca vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Mallorca in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Mallorca in 13 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 6 of their last 10 games against Mallorca.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you are hunting down bigger odds for Mallorca to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Mallorca Asian Hcp +1 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 2, 16:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mallorca 1 - 1 Real Madrid

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Arda Guler Over 1.5 Shots -125

Arda Guler (Real Madrid) has covered the 1.5 shots total in back-to-back La Liga matches. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -125 available.

Latest Arda Guler Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+950

Shots

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

---

Pablo Torre to Score +750

Pablo Torre (Mallorca) has registered two goals in his past four La Liga games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +750 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Pablo Torre Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+2000

Shots

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -143

It has now been six straight Mallorca home matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered. We think it’s possible that the teams will cover the Total Corners line and odds of -143 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mallorca

Total

10.20 3.20 7.00

Home

9.90 3.40 6.50

Away

10.10 2.90 7.20

Real Madrid

Total

9.90 6.70 3.20

Home

9.80 6.60 3.20

Away

10.10 6.60 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Mallorca Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-112

Real Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

+106

Under 6.5

-149

Most Corners

1

+250

X

+700

2

-263

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mallorca vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Real Madrid are forecasted to have a 67% chance of triumphing in this La Liga encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -200. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +510 about Mallorca.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Madrid available at +102 and Mallorca at +430. The third option is the draw which is priced at +148.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -149 for the BTTS Yes option.

All of the La Liga matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+510

X

+350

2

-200

Half-Time Result

1

+430

X

+148

2

+102

Double Chance

1X

+148

12

-500

X2

-769

Draw No Bet

1

+310

2

-556

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-104

2 Hcp -1

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+110

Kylian Mbappé is the market leader at +235 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-143

Anytime

+235

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+135

Anytime

+400

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+155

Anytime

+450

Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca)

First

+180

Anytime

+550

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Jan Virgili (Mallorca)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Abdón Prats (Mallorca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Zito Luvumbo (Mallorca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Mateo Joseph (Mallorca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Pablo Torre (Mallorca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Javi Llabrés (Mallorca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ferland Mendy (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Takuma Asano (Mallorca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Fran García (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dani Ceballos (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Álvaro Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Zito Luvumbo (Mallorca)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Abdón Prats (Mallorca)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Joseph (Mallorca)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Jan Virgili (Mallorca)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Takuma Asano (Mallorca)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Álvaro Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Dani Ceballos (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Fran García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Ferland Mendy (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Javi Llabrés (Mallorca)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Torre (Mallorca)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Mallorca have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Madrid have six wins, three draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

When the sides last met at Estadi Son Moix, Mallorca drew 1-1 with Madrid. In the previous 5 H2H games at Estadi Son Moix, there have been two wins apiece and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mallorca Home Stats		5-2-3	3.10	1.80	1.30	7	3	8	2
Real Madrid Away Stats		6-3-1	2.30	1.60	0.70	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Mallorca vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Mallorca vs Madrid team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for La Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Mallorca Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

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