Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Mar 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth welcome Derby to Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 16 March.

Our stake will be split when taking Derby +0.25 at odds of -100 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Portsmouth.

Portsmouth have lost their last three home games, most recently being beaten 2-1 by Swansea City at Fratton Park. Pompey enjoyed 59% possession and had four shots on target, with Jacob Brown being the goalscorer.

Derby County have suffered a defeat in their previous three road games including a recent 1-0 loss. This occurred at The Den against Millwall. John Eustace's team enjoyed 50% possession and had one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby are unbeaten when it comes to the past seven games against Portsmouth, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The previous 7 H2H games have featured six draws and one Derby victory.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	40	17	9	14	58	51	7	58:51	60
21	Portsmouth	39	10	11	18	38	55	-17	38:55	41

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. Pompey have had 56.6% possession and 7.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 2.9 corners.

Top scorers are Ebou Adams and Terry Devlin on 2 goals, while Jacob Brown has racked up 1. The top assist makers are Zak Swanson, Jacob Brown and Regan Poole, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Derby have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 1.8 goals. The Rams average 47.8% possession, 2.6 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Rhian Brewster on 4, followed by Ben Brereton Diaz and Patrick Agyemang with 3. Joe Ward, Derry Murkin and Callum Elder have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Portsmouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid (GK), Terry Devlin, Regan Poole, Connor Ogilvie, Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Ebou Adams, Millenic Alli, Conor Chaplin, Gustavo Caballero, Jacob Brown.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Richard O'Donnell (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Derry Murkin, Lewis Travis, Bobby Clark, Ben Brereton Diaz, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Portsmouth vs Derby betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Derby +0.25 at -100 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Championship clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Championship form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Portsmouth vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 7 consecutive games against Derby.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 50% chance of landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to back Derby without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 14, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Portsmouth 0 - 1 Derby

We’re taking a chance on the Rams to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +650 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Agyemang to Score +280

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) has registered six goals in his past ten Championship games away from home. We’re content to land the +280 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+650

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -125

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in ten consecutive Derby games, with the last five Portsmouth home matches averaging 9.20 corners. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Portsmouth

Total

10.30 7.40 2.90

Home

10.10 6.30 3.80

Away

10.70 6.20 4.50

Derby

Total

6.90 2.60 4.30

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

8.90 3.60 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Portsmouth Corners

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-125

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+650

2

+163

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Portsmouth vs Derby Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Championship encounter, the bookmakers have Portsmouth as the +123 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 45% chance of triumphing. If you’re searching for a different slant, Derby County are available at +240.

Portsmouth and Derby can be backed at -185 and +128 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. For the Both Teams to Score betting option, it’s up in the air odds-wise as to whether Yes or No will be the end result.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Championship match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+215

2

+240

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+105

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-303

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-161

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-119

There is +190 available that Carlton Morris finds the net, while he is available at +450 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+190

Anytime

+450

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Caballero, Gustavo (PRY) (Portsmouth)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Thomas Waddingham (Portsmouth)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Florian Bianchini (Portsmouth)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Connor Ogilvie (Portsmouth)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

John Swift (Portsmouth)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ebou Adams (Portsmouth)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Portsmouth have suffered three consecutive losses at Fratton Park. Pompey have recorded five defeats, three victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The previous three Derby away matches have seen them beaten. The East Midlands team have five defeats, four wins and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The last Fratton Park meeting saw Portsmouth and Derby draw 2-2. A draw has occurred in each of the past 3 H2H meetings at Fratton Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Portsmouth Home Stats		3-2-5	2.40	1.10	1.30	5	5	6	4
Derby Away Stats		4-1-5	2.90	1.60	1.30	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Portsmouth vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Portsmouth vs Derby team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Portsmouth Team Page Derby County Team Page

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